Abstract:
OBJECTIVE To explore the risk factors for prognosis of the elderly patients with severe pulmonary infection and analyze the clinical values of micro ribonucleic acid -127 (miR-127), micro ribonucleic acid-146 a (miR-146 a), micro ribonucleic acid-125 b (miR-125 b) and micro ribonucleic acid-495-3p (miR-495-3p) in prediction of prognosis of the patients.
METHODS A total of 124 elderly patients with severe pulmonary infection who were treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical College from Jan 2020 to Apr 2022 were enrolled in the study and were divided into the death group with 31 cases and the survival group with 93 cases according to the 28-day clinical treatment outcomes. The clinical data were retrospectively collected from the patients, univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed for risk factors for the prognosis of the elderly patients with severe pulmonary infection, and the values of miR-127, miR-146 a, miR-125 b and miR-495-3p in prediction of the prognosis of the elderly patients with severe pulmonary infection were analyzed by means of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.
RESULTS Among the 124 patients with severe pulmonary infection, 31 died within 28 days, with the mortality rate 25.00%. The result of multivariate logistic analysis showed that the advanced age, no less than 3 types of underlying diseases and invasive procedures were the risk factors for death of the elderly patients with severe pulmonary infection(
P<0.05). The expression levels of miR-127, miR-146 a and miR-125b of the death group were higher than those of the survival group, while the expression level of miR-495-3p of the death group was lower than that of the survival group(
P<0.05). ROC curve analysis indicated that the value of the joint detection of miR-127, miR-146a, miR-125b and miR-495-3p was high in diagnosis of death of the elderly patients with severe pulmonary infection, with the area under curve (AUC) 0.936, the sensitivity 87.10%, the specificity 94.36%.
CONCLUSION The elderly patients with severe pulmonary infection have poor prognosis. The advanced age, no less than 3 types of underlying diseases and invasive procedures are the risk factors for death of the elderly patients with severe pulmonary infection. miR-127, miR-146a, miR-125b and miR-495-3p have high value in prediction of death of the elderly patients with severe pulmonary infection.