2024年福州市人群新冠病毒感染抗体阳性危险因素的前瞻性研究

Prospective study on risk factors for positive test of COVID-19 antibody in the population of Fuzhou in 2024

  • 摘要:
    目的 探究福州市人群新冠病毒感染血清抗体阳性的危险因素,从而为防控策略提供科学依据。
    方法 使用前瞻性研究方法,采用多阶段分层随机抽样,对福州市12个县(市)区,每个县(市)区随机抽取至少200名对象,分别于2024年3、6、9和12月进行问卷随访并采集血清检测。将12月检测的抗体水平分为高保护抗体组(IgG抗体≥50 AU/ml)与低保护抗体组(IgG抗体≤20 AU/ml),采用多因素logistic回归模型分析血清抗体的影响因素。
    结果 共抽取2 816名研究对象,3月检测发现高保护抗体居民有1 454名,跟踪随访9个月,12月检测发现1 454名中,高保护抗体有344名,低保护抗体有369名。高抗体组与低抗体组的年龄、感染后是否有典型症状、有基础病、手术史、治愈时间、吸烟史、饮酒史差异有统计学意义(P < 0.05)。多因素logistic回归模型显示,年龄大、有基础病、手术史、吸烟史和饮酒史是危险因素(P < 0.05),可降低机体抗体水平,而感染后出现典型症状、治愈时间长是保护因素(P < 0.05),可升高抗体水平。2024年春季新冠病毒感染后,福州市居民血清抗体呈下降趋势,尤其2024年9月以后,下降趋势更明显。
    结论 针对新冠病毒感染抗体的危险因素,做好重点人群防控,加强健康宣教,为保护人群免受新冠病毒感染,有必要推进疫苗接种以维持人群免疫水平。

     

    Abstract:
    OBJECTIVE To explore the risk factors for serum COVID-19 antibodies in the population of Fuzhou to provide scientific basis for prevention and control strategies.
    METHODS The prospective study and the multi-stage stratified random sampling method were performed to select at least 200 subjects from each of the 12 counties (cities) in Fuzhou. Questionnaires follow-ups and serum collections were conducted in Mar, Jun, Sep, and Dec. 2024, respectively. The antibody levels in Dec. were divided into a high protective antibody group (IgG antibody ≥ 50 AU/ml) and a low protective antibody group (IgG antibody ≤ 20 AU/ml). The influencing factors of serum antibody levels were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression model.
    RESULTS A total of 2816 subjects were enrolled. In Mar, 1454 subjects with high-protective antibodies were identified. After nine months of follow-up, of the 1454 subjects, 344 had high protective antibodies and 369 had low protective antibodies in Dec.. There were statistically significant differences in age, presence of typical symptoms after infection, underlying diseases, surgical history, healing time, smoking and drinking histories between the high and low antibody groups (P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression model showed that older age, underlying diseases, history of surgery, smoking and drinking were risk factors which could reduce antibody levels (P < 0.05), while typical symptoms after infection and longer recovery time were protective factors which could increase antibody levels (P < 0.05). After the COVID-19 infection in spring of 2024, the serum antibody levels in Fuzhou residents showed the downward trend, especially after Sep. 2024, with a more pronounced downward trend.
    CONCLUSIONS According to the risk factors of COVID-19 antibody levels, prevention and control efforts should be focused on the key population. It is necessary to strengthen health education and carry out vaccination to maintain the levels of immunity to protect population from COVID-19 infection.

     

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