侵袭性肺曲霉病患者临床特征及其预后不良危险因素

Clinical features and risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with invasive pulmonary aspergillosis

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析侵袭性肺曲霉病(IPA)患者的病原菌特点及临床特征, 归纳影响预后不良的危险因素。
    方法 通过电子病历系统查询东南大学附属中大医院2022年8月-2024年7月通过痰或肺泡灌洗液培养微生物鉴定为曲霉菌, 且结合诊断标准诊断为IPA患者的89例临床资料, 回顾性分析IPA患者曲霉菌病原菌分布及患者临床特征, 归纳影响患者预后不良的危险因素。
    结果 89例病例共检出107株曲霉, 其中烟曲霉55株(51.40%)、黄曲霉30株(28.04%)、黑曲霉10株(9.34%)。男性63例(70.79%), 不良预后34例。外周血基础淋巴细胞计数(< 0.645×109)(OR=6.653, 95%CI:2.013~21.990, P=0.002)及入住ICU(OR=8.303, 95%CI:1.283~53.741, P=0.026)是IPA患者预后不良的危险因素。受试者工作特征曲线分析结果显示, IPA患者预后的外周血基础淋巴细胞计数折点为0.645×109/L, 敏感度为85.22%, 特异度为69.67%。
    结论 外周血基础淋巴细胞计数、入住ICU是IPA患者预后不良的危险因素, 外周血基础淋巴细胞计数警戒值为0.645×109/L, 对预后不良的发生有较好预测价值。

     

    Abstract:
    OBJECTIVE To analyze the pathogenic characteristics and clinical features of patients with invasive pulmonary aspergillosis (IPA) and summarize the risk factors for poor prognosis.
    METHODS The clinical data of 89 patients diagnosed with IPA based on microbial identification of Aspergillus from sputum or bronchoalveolar lavage fluid cultures and diagnostic criteria, who were admitted to Zhongda Hospital Southeast University from Aug. 2022 to Jul. 2024 and were queried by electronic case system, were analyzed retrospectively. The distribution of Aspergillus pathogens and clinical features of patients with IPA were analyzed, and the risk factors for poor prognosis were summarized.
    RESULTS A total of 107 Aspergillus strains were isolated from 89 cases, including 55 strains of Aspergillus fumigatus (51.40%), 30 strains of Aspergillus flavus (28.04%) and 10 strains of Aspergillus niger (9.34%). There were 63 male patients (70.79%), and 34 cases had poor prognosis. Baseline peripheral blood lymphocyte count (< 0.645×109) (OR=6.653, 95%CI: 2.013-21.990, P=0.002) and ICU admission (OR=8.303, 95%CI: 1.283-53.741, P=0.026) were identified as risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with IPA. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the cut-off point for baseline peripheral blood lymphocyte count in predicting prognosis in patients with IPA was 0.645×109/L, with a sensitivity of 85.22% and a specificity of 69.67%.
    CONCLUSIONS Baseline peripheral blood lymphocyte count and ICU admission are risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with IPA. The alert value for baseline peripheral blood lymphocyte count is 0.645×109/L, which has good predictive value for the occurrence of poor prognosis.

     

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