肾移植术后感染与死亡风险:系统评价和荟萃分析

Infection and mortality risk after renal transplantation: systematic review and meta-analysis

  • 摘要:
    目的 旨在系统分析移植后感染相关的死亡风险并评估感染后更易出现死亡风险的亚组人群特征。
    方法 在PubMed、Web of Science、Cochrane Library和EMBASE数据库中系统检索截至2024年9月发表的研究,获取移植后1年内感染相关死亡的数据,计算合并风险比(RR)及其95%置信区间(CI),根据患者人口学特征、免疫抑制方案和感染类型等进行亚组分析。
    结果 本研究纳入了14项研究(n=79 130)。经剪补法校正后的结果显示,感染患者的死亡风险是非感染者的10.26倍(95%CI:5.21~20.20,P<0.001)。Meta回归分析显示,免疫诱导治疗方案可能是研究结果异质性的来源。亚组分析表明,接受抗胸腺细胞球蛋白(ATG)治疗组的感染后死亡风险相对于非感染组升高(RR=5.01,95%CI:2.57~9.79,P<0.001)。肺部和血流感染组的感染与非感染患者死亡风险比高于尿路感染组(RR分别为6.23、5.56 vs. 1.45)。与肾移植术后非感染患者相比,术后1年的感染死亡风险比高于术后5年(RR=3.51 vs. 1.48)。年龄、病因、供体来源及感染时间等亚组中,感染与非感染患者的死亡率比无显著差异。
    结论 免疫抑制策略的选择、感染类型可能是决定移植后感染相关死亡风险的关键因素,建议及时采取针对病原体的干预措施,并制定个体化免疫抑制方案,以降低感染相关并发症风险。

     

    Abstract:
    OBJECTIVE To systematically analyze the mortality risk associated with post-transplantation infection and evaluate the characteristics of subgroup populations that are more prone to mortality after infection.
    METHODS A systematic search was conducted in the PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library and EMBASE databases for studies published up to Sep. 2024. Data on infection-related mortality within 1 year after transplantation were collected. The pooled risk ratio (RR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated. Subgroup analyses were performed based on demographic characteristics, immunosuppressipn regimens and types of infection.
    RESULTS This study included 14 studies (n=79 130). After adjustment with the trim-and-fill method, the results showed that the mortality risk of infected recipients was 10.26 times higher than that of non-infected recipients (95% CI: 5.21-20.20, P < 0.001). Meta-regression analysis indicated that the immunosuppression induction regimen might be a source of heterogeneity in the study results. Subgroup analysis revealed that the mortality risk after infection in the group receiving antithymocyte globulin (ATG) treatment elevated compared to the non-infected group (RR=5.01, 95% CI: 2.57-9.79, P < 0.001). The mortality risk ratio between infected and non-infected patients was higher in the pulmonary and bloodstream infection groups than that in the urinary tract infection group (RRs were 6.23 and 5.56 vs. 1.45, respectively). Compared to non-infected patients after renal transplantation, the mortality risk ratio due to infection in the first year after surgery was higher than that in the fifth year (RR=3.51 vs. 1.48). No significant differences in mortality ratios between infected and non-infected patients were observed in subgroups based on age, etiology, donor source and time of infection.
    CONCLUSIONS The choice of immunosuppression strategy and the type of infection may be key factors determining the mortality risk associated with post-transplantation infection. It is recommended to promptly implement pathogen-specific intervention measures and develop individualized immunosuppression regimens to reduce the risk of infection-related complications.

     

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