继发性血流感染患者死亡风险的COX回归分析

COX regression analysis of mortality risk in patients with secondary bloodstream infection

  • 摘要: 目的 分析继发性血流感染患者死亡的危险因素和病原菌分布特点。方法 通过杏林医院感染实时监控系统调取南京医科大学第一附属医院2020年1月-2024年12月诊断为继发性血流感染的340例患者数据,根据其预后结果分为生存组及死亡组。分析不同感染来源的继发性血流感染病原菌分布特点,通过单因素与多因素COX回归分析,识别继发性血流感染的死亡危险因素。结果 不同感染来源的继发性血流感染病原菌及重点监测菌分布存在明显差异,其中腹腔感染来源以大肠埃希菌(31.11%)、肺炎克雷伯菌(26.67%)、屎肠球菌(12.59%)为主;下呼吸道感染来源以肺炎克雷伯菌(33.33%)、鲍曼不动杆菌(26.67%)及铜绿假单胞菌(8.57%)为主;泌尿道感染来源以大肠埃希菌(35.29%)、肺炎克雷伯菌(23.53%)、粪肠球菌和屎肠球菌(均7.35%)为主。重点监测菌检出率下呼吸道感染(62.86%)高于腹腔感染(24.44%)和泌尿道感染(14.71%)。多因素COX回归分析结果显示年龄(≥60岁)(HR=1.857,95%CI:1.206~2.858)、感染重点监测菌(HR=1.583,95%CI:1.047~2.392)、继发来源(下呼吸道感染)(HR=2.217,95%CI:1.340~3.667)、肌酐(HR=1.001,95%CI:1.000~1.002)、白蛋白-胆红素评分(ALBI)分级(Grade3)(HR=2.911,95%CI:1.337~6.335)是继发性血流感染死亡的危险因素,差异有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。结论 不同继发性血流感染的病原菌特点不同,高龄、重点监测菌感染、继发下呼吸道感染、肌酐高、肝功能异常是其死亡的危险因素,应重点关注并实施针对性诊疗与防控策略。

     

    Abstract: OBJECTIVE To analyze the risk factors and pathogen distribution characteristics of mortality in patients with secondary bloodstream infection. METHODS Data from 340 patients diagnosed with secondary bloodstream infection at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from Jan. 2020 to Dec. 2024 were retrieved through the Xinglin Nosocomial Infection Surveillance. Patients were divided into a survival group and a mortality group based on their prognostic outcomes. The distribution characteristics of pathogens in secondary bloodstream infection from different infection sources were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate COX regression analyses were conducted to identify risk factors for mortality in secondary bloodstream infection. RESULTS Significant differences were observed in the distribution of pathogens and key monitored bacteria in secondary bloodstream infection from different infection sources. Abdominal infection sources were predominantly associated with Escherichia coli (31.11%), Klebsiella pneumoniae (26.67%) and Enterococcus faecium (12.59%). Lower respiratory tract infection sources were mainly linked to K. pneumoniae (33.33%), Acinetobacter baumannii (26.67%) and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (8.57%). Urinary tract infection sources were primarily associated with E. coli (35.29%), K. pneumoniae (23.53%), E. faecalis and E. faecium (both 7.35%). The detection rate of key monitored bacteria was higher in lower respiratory tract infection (62.86%) than in abdominal infection (24.44%) and urinary tract infection (14.71%). Multivariate COX regression analysis revealed that age (≥60 years) (HR=1.857, 95%CI: 1.206-2.858), infection with key monitored bacteria (HR=1.583, 95%CI: 1.047-2.392), secondary source (lower respiratory tract infection) (HR=2.217, 95%CI: 1.340-3.667), creatinine (HR=1.001, 95%CI: 1.000-1.002) and albumin-bilirubin score (ALBI) grade (Grade 3) (HR=2.911, 95%CI: 1.337-6.335) were risk factors for mortality in secondary bloodstream infection, with statistically significant differences (all P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS The characteristics of pathogens vary among different secondary bloodstream infections. Advanced age, infection with key monitored bacteria, secondary lower respiratory tract infection, elevated creatinine levels and abnormal liver function are risk factors for mortality. Close attention should be paid to these factors, and targeted diagnostic, therapeutic and preventive strategies should be implemented.

     

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