新型冠状病毒奥密克戎变异株流行趋势及临床特征

Epidemiological trend and clinical characteristics of novel coronavirus Omicron variant

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析新疆某医院新型冠状病毒奥密克戎变异株的流行分型及其患者临床特征,为精准防控和临床干预提供参考。
    方法 收集新疆医科大学第一附属医院2024年1-12月收治的581例新型冠状病毒感染者的全基因组测序数据及临床资料,利用Pangolin和Nextclade数据库进行毒株分型,通过logistic回归模型评估重症危险因素。
    结果 奥密克戎变异株以JN.1(63.34%)、XDV.1(15.83%)和KP1.1(5.51%)为主,流行趋势呈现阶段性更替:BA.2.86及其亚分支主导1-8月(占比62.07%~97.96%),XDV.1亚分支于9-12月成为优势株(占比50.00%~76.92%)。BA.2.86组咳嗽咳痰(43.10%,P<0.001)、发热(41.90%,P<0.001)及入住ICU比例(33.81%)高于其他组。多因素分析显示,BA.2.86毒株(OR=3.320,95%CI:1.577~6.989,P=0.002)、XBB毒株分型(OR=2.332,95%CI:1.030~5.279,P=0.043)、年龄(OR=1.116,95%CI:1.013~1.333,P=0.032))、咳嗽咳痰(OR=2.117,95%CI:1.403~3.195,P<0.001)、发热(OR=1.857,95%CI:1.282~2.690,P=0.001)、糖尿病(OR=1.651,95%CI:1.052~2.592,P=0.029)和心脑血管疾病(OR=1.974,95%CI:1.208~3.224,P=0.006)是新型冠状病毒奥密克戎株感染重症的危险因素。
    结论 奥密克戎亚分支的流行呈现动态演变特征,BA.2.86毒株与更高的呼吸道症状和重症风险相关,年龄增加及基础疾病显著加重临床结局,需针对高危毒株及合并症患者优化监测与治疗策略。

     

    Abstract:
    OBJECTIVE  To analyze the epidemiological subtyping of the novel coronavirus Omicron variant and its clinical characteristics in patients from a hospital in Xinjiang, providing references for precise prevention and clinical intervention.
    METHODS  Whole-genome sequencing data and clinical records of 581 novel coronavirus-infected patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from Jan. 2024 to Dec. 2024 were collected. Strain subtyping was performed with the Pangolin and Nextclade databases, and logistic regression models were employed to assess risk factors for severe disease.
    RESULTS  The Omicron variant was predominantly composed of JN.1 (63.34%), XDV.1 (15.83%) and KP1.1 (5.51%), with a phased shift in epidemiological trends: BA.2.86 and its sublineages dominated from Jan. to Aug. (accounting for 62.07%−97.96%), while the XDV.1 sublineages became predominant from Sep. to Dec. (accounting for 50.00%−76.92%). The BA.2.86 group exhibited significantly higher rates of cough with sputum (43.10%, P<0.001), fever (41.90%, P<0.001) and ICU admission (33.81%) than other groups. Multivariate analysis identified BA.2.86 strain (OR=3.320, 95%CI: 1.577−6.989, P=0.002), BB strain typing (OR=2.332, 95%CI: 1.030−5.279, P=0.043), age (OR=1.116, 95%CI: 1.013−1.333, P=0.032), cough and expectoration (OR=2.117, 95%CI: 1.403−3.195, P<0.001), fever (OR=1.857, 95%CI: 1.282−2.690, P=0.001), diabetes (OR=1.651, 95%CI: 1.052−2.592, P=0.029) and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases (OR=1.974, 95%CI: 1.208−3.224, P=0.006) as risk factors for severe novel coronavirus Omicron infection.
    CONCLUSIONS  The prevalence of Omicron sublineages demonstrates dynamic evolution. The BA.2.86 strain is associated with higher respiratory symptoms and severe disease risk, while advanced age and underlying conditions significantly worsen clinical outcomes. Monitoring and treatment strategies should be optimized for high-risk strains and patients with complications.

     

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