2007-2024年上海市某医院HIV感染合并梅毒感染流行趋势及影响因素

Prevalence and influencing factors for HIV infection complicated with syphilis infection in a hospital of Shanghai from 2007 to 2024

  • 摘要: 目的 分析HIV感染合并梅毒感染的流行趋势及其影响因素,为制定双重感染的防控策略提供依据。方法 回顾性分析2007年1月-2024年12月上海市浦东新区人民医院就诊的328例HIV感染者的病历资料。应用Joinpoint回归模型分析合并梅毒感染率的时间趋势,计算平均年度变化百分比(AAPC); 多因素logistic回归模型分析其影响因素。结果 328例HIV感染者中,合并梅毒感染123例,合并感染率为37.50%。Joinpoint回归分析显示,2007-2024年合并感染率平均以每年5.326%的速度上升(AAPC 95%CI:4.193%~7.232%,P<0.001),2016年为转折点:2007-2016年快速上升(APC=8.105%,95%CI:4.761%~11.549%,P=0.001),2016年后增速放缓但趋势持续(APC=3.874%,95%CI:1.892%~5.856%,P=0.003)。分层分析显示,男男性行为者(MSM)占合并感染者的78.86%,其感染率持续上升(AAPC=5.095%,95%CI:0.821%~9.757%,P=0.022),而异性的感染率无统计学变化(AAPC=-3.883%,95%CI:-11.223%~3.411%,P=0.334)。多因素分析显示,MSM是合并感染的独立危险因素(OR=2.229,P=0.006); 在皮肤科就诊是识别高风险人群的重要路径标志(OR=3.768,P=0.026); 基于高危史的主动检测是关键保护行为(OR=0.194,P=0.007)。结论 医院HIV感染者梅毒合并感染率较高且持续上升,MSM是核心高危人群,建议建立以皮肤科为哨点的强化筛查机制,针对MSM人群实施综合干预,并推广主动检测。

     

    Abstract: OBJECTIVE To investigate the prevalence trends and influencing factors for HIV infection complicated with syphilis infection so as to provide bases for development of prevention strategies for dual infections. METHODS A retrospective analysis was performed on the medical records of 328 HIV-infected individuals who were identified at Shanghai Pudong New Area People's Hospital from Jan. 2007 to Dec. 2024. The Joinpoint regression model was applied to analyze the temporal trend of the incidence of coinfection with syphilis, the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for the influencing factors. RESULTS Among the 328 HIV-infected individuals, 123 were co-infected with syphilis, yielding a co-infection rate of 37.50%. Joinpoint regression analysis revealed that the co-infection rate significantly increased at an average annual rate of 5.326% from 2007 to 2024 (AAPC 95%CI: 4.193% to 7.232%, P<0.001). The year of 2016 was a turning point: a rapid increase occurred from 2007 to 2016 (APC=8.105%, 95%CI: 4.761% to 11.549%, P=0.001), followed by a slower but sustained increasing trend after 2016 (APC=3.874%, 95%CI: 1.892% to 5.856%, P=0.003). Stratified analysis showed that men who have sex with men (MSM) accounted for 78.86% of the co-infected cases, and their infection rate showed a continuous upward trend (AAPC=5.095%, 95%CI: 0.821% to 9.757%, P=0.022). In contrast, no statistically significant change was observed in the infection rate among heterosexuals (AAPC=-3.883%, 95%CI: -11.223% to 3.411%, P=0.334). Multivariate analysis showed that MSM was an independent risk factor for the coinfection (OR=2.229, P=0.006). Attending the dermatology department was a significant pathway marker for identifying the high-risk populations (OR=3.768, P=0.026), while undergoing active testing based on a history of high-risk behaviors was a key protective behavior (OR=0.194, P=0.007). CONCLUSIONS The rate of syphilis co-infection is high and continues to rise among the HIV-infected individuals in the hospital setting, and MSM is the core high-risk population. It is recommended to establish an enhanced screening mechanism by using dermatology departments as sentinel sites, implement comprehensive interventions targeting the MSM population, and promote active testing to control the spread of dual infections.

     

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