终末期肾病腹膜透析铁代谢与甲状旁腺功能交互作用对腹膜炎预后的影响

Impact of interaction between iron metabolism and parathyroid function on prognosis of peritonitis in patients with end-stage renal disease undergoing peritoneal dialysis

  • 摘要: 目的 探讨终末期肾病腹膜透析(PD)患者中铁代谢标志物血清铁蛋白(Fer)与甲状旁腺激素(PTH)在腹膜炎发生与预后中的交互作用及其临床意义。方法 采用回顾性队列研究设计,纳入2019年1月1日-2021年12月31日于开封市中心医院规律随访的194例PD患者,根据是否发生腹膜炎分为腹膜炎组(135例)与非腹膜炎组(59例)。收集患者基线资料及实验室指标,通过Cox比例风险回归、Kaplan-Meier生存分析及列线图建模等方法,评估Fer与PTH对终点事件(包括全因死亡、技术失败、难治性或复发性腹膜炎)的预测价值。结果 单因素及多因素Cox回归分析表明,低Fer(<38.40 ng/ml)与低PTH(<157.45 pg/ml)是终点事件的独立危险因素(HR分别为1.967与1.791,均P<0.001)。生存分析进一步显示,低Fer组与低PTH组累积终点事件发生率显著升高,且两者均低时风险最高(P<0.001)。基于Fer与PTH构建的列线图模型在预测1年及2年累积事件发生率中表现出良好的校准度与区分能力(C-index约0.6~0.8)。结论 在PD相关腹膜炎急性期,Fer与PTH的"双低状态"可作为预测不良预后的独立生物标志物,反映急性炎症应激下的全身性代谢紊乱与危重状态。本研究为腹膜炎患者的风险分层与个体化干预提供了新的评估工具与理论依据。

     

    Abstract: OBJECTIVE To investigate the interaction between serum ferritin (Fer) and parathyroid hormone (PTH), which are the markers of iron metabolism, and their clinical significance in the occurrence and prognosis of peritonitis in patients with end-stage renal disease undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD). METHODS A retrospective cohort study design was adopted, including 194 patients undergoing PD, who were regularly followed up at Kaifeng Central Hospital from Jan. 1, 2019 to Dec. 31, 2021. Patients were divided into a peritonitis group (135 cases) and a non-peritonitis group (59 cases) based on whether peritonitis occurred. Baseline data and laboratory indicators of patients were collected. The predictive value of Fer and PTH for endpoint events (including all-cause mortality, technical failure, refractory or relapsing peritonitis) was evaluated through Cox proportional hazards regression, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and nomogram modeling. RESULTS Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that low Fer (<38.40 ng/ml) and low PTH (<157.45 pg/ml) were independent risk factors for the endpoint event (HR were 1.967 and 1.791, respectively, both P<0.001). Survival analysis further revealed that the cumulative incidence of endpoint events was significantly higher in the low Fer and low PTH groups, with the highest risk observed when both were low (P<0.001). The nomogram model constructed based on Fer and PTH demonstrated good calibration and discriminatory ability in predicting the 1-year and 2-year cumulative event incidence rates (with C-index ranging from 0.6 to 0.8). CONCLUSIONS In the acute phase of PD-related peritonitis, the "dual low state" of Fer and PTH can serve as independent biomarkers for predicting poor prognosis, reflecting systemic metabolic disorders and critical conditions under acute inflammatory stress. This study provides a new assessment tool and theoretical basis for risk stratification and individualized intervention in patients with peritonitis.

     

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