肝硬化失代偿期并发自发性细菌性腹膜炎危险因素

Risk factors for concurrent spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in patients withdecompensated cirrhosis

  • 摘要: 目的 探究肝硬化失代偿期(DCC)并发自发性细菌性腹膜炎(SBP)的危险因素及外周血中性粒细胞-淋巴细胞比率(NLR)、单核细胞/淋巴细胞比值(MLR)的表达。方法 选取2020年2月-2025年2月宁夏医科大学总医院收治的DCC并发SBP患者246例为研究对象,根据入院至90 d随访后的预后情况分为生存组174例和死亡组72例。回顾性分析患者腹水病原菌分布特征,采用多因素logistic回归分析患者短期预后的危险因素,绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析NLR、MLR水平对患者短期预后的预测效能,采用Kaplan-Meier分析NLR、MLR与短期预后的关系。结果 246例患者中,42例患者腹水培养阳性(17.07%),分离出病原菌66株,其中革兰阴性菌41株(62.12%),以大肠埃希菌为主; 多因素logistic回归分析结果显示,合并消化道出血(OR=2.138)、Child-Pugh评分(OR=1.782)是患者短期预后不良的危险因素(P<0.05); ROC曲线结果显示,NLR、MLR对与DCC并发SBP患者短期预后具有一定预测价值,且二指标联合预测价值最高(P<0.05); Kaplan-Meier生存分析显示,高NLR、高MLR组90 d生存率降低(P<0.05)。结论 NLR、MLR是DCC并发SBP患者良好的诊断学与预后标志物,可独立预测短期死亡风险,联合检测能显著提高预后评估准确性。

     

    Abstract: OBJECTIVE To explore the risk factors for concurrent spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) in the patients with decompensated cirrhosis (DCC) and observe the expression levels of peripheral blood neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and monocyte/lymphocyte ratio (MLR). METHODS A total of 246 DCC patients who were complicated with SBP and treated in Infectious Disease Department, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from Feb. 2020 to Feb. 2025 were recruited as the research subjects and were divided into the survival group with 174 cases and the death group with 72 cases according to the treatment outcomes between the admission to the hospitals and the 90-day follow-up. The distribution of pathogens isolated from ascites of the patients was retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for the risk factors for the short-term prognosis of the patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn to analyze the efficacies of NLR and MLR in prediction of the short-term prognosis, and the relationship between NLR, MLR and the short-term prognosis was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier. RESULTS Among the 246 patients, 42 (17.07%) were positive for culture of ascites. Totally 66 strains of pathogens were isolated, of which 41 (62.12%) were gram-negative bacteria, predominated by Escherichia coli. The result of multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that complication with gastrointestinal hemorrhage (OR=2.138) and Child-Pugh score(OR=1.782) were the risk factors for the poor short-term prognosis(P<0.05). The ROC curve analysis indicated that NLR and MLR had certain values in prediction of short-term prognosis of the DCC patients complicated with SBP, and the predictive value of the combination of the two indicators was highest(P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the survival rate was low in the high NLR group and the high MLR group (P<0.05). CONCLUSION NLR and MLR are effective for diagnosis of SBP in the DCC patients and prediction of prognosis, they can independently predict the risk of short-term death, and the combination of the two indicators can remarkably raise the accuracy of prognosis assessment.

     

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