基于公共数据库探讨2010-2024年全球食源性疾病的流行病学特征

Exploration of global foodborne diseases from 2010 to 2024 based on public databases

  • 摘要: 目的 系统评价食源性疾病主要病原体的分布特征、发病率及相关危险因素,为食源性疾病防控提供循证依据。方法 计算机检索中文数据库包括中国知网(CNKI)、万方数据,同时检索 PubMed、Embase、Cochrane Library英文数据库,收集2010年1月-2024年12月公开发表的食源性疾病相关暴发监测、回顾性分析及横断面调查类研究。由2名研究者独立进行文献筛选、数据提取及质量评价,采用R 4.5.1进行Meta分析。结果 共纳入186项研究,涉及6大洲45个国家,总样本量达523,891人。病毒类中诺如病毒发病率最高(合并发病率198.30/10万人年,95%CI:176.50~220.10),占食源性病毒感染的63.20%; 细菌类中沙门氏菌居首(合并发病率72.50/10万人年,95%CI:65.80~79.20),占食源性细菌感染的41.50%; 寄生虫类以弓形虫为主(合并感染率6.80%,95%CI:5.30~8.30); 真菌毒素类中黄曲霉毒素暴露率最高(谷物污染率28.70%,95%CI:24.30~33.10)。亚组分析显示,发展中国家发病率显著高于发达国家(RR=2.31,95%CI:1.98~2.69),婴幼儿(≤5岁)、孕妇及免疫低下人群为高风险群体(P均<0.05)。异质性检验显示,I2=78.30%,主要异质性来源为地区差异、诊断方法及人群年龄结构(P均<0.10)。敏感性分析证实结果稳健,发表偏倚检测未发现明显偏倚(Egger检验P=0.568)。结论 诺如病毒、沙门氏菌、弓形虫及黄曲霉毒素是最主要的食源性致病因子,发展中国家及特殊人群防控需重点关注,应针对性加强食品污染源头管控及高风险人群保护。

     

    Abstract: OBJECTIVE To systematically evaluate the distribution of major pathogens, incidence rates and related risk factors for foodborne diseases so as to provide evidence-based bases for prevention and control of foodborne diseases. METHODS The Chinese databases including China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) and Wanfang and the English databases such as PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library were retrieved at the same time to collect the literatures regarding the outbreak surveillance, retrospective analysis and cross-sectional survey of foodborne diseases that were published from Jan. 2010 to Dec. 2024. The screening of literatures, data extraction and quality evaluation were completed independently by 2 researchers, and meta-analysis was performed by R 4.5. 1 software. RESULTS A total of 186 studies involving 45 countries across 6 continents were included with a total sample size of 523,891 cases. Among the viruses, the prevalence rate of norovirus (pooled incidence rate: 198.30 per 100,000 person-years, 95%CI: 176.50 to 220.10) was highest, accounting for 63.20% among the foodborne viral infections. Among the bacteria, Salmonella ranked the first place (pooled incidence rate: 72.50 per 100,000 person-years, 95%CI: 65.80 to 79.20), accounting for 41.50% among the foodborne bacterial infections. Among the parasites, Toxoplasma gondii was dominant (pooled infection rate 6.80%, 95%CI: 5.30 to 8.30). Among the fungaltoxins, the exposure rate to aflatoxin was highest (contamination rate of grains 28.70%, 95%CI:24.30 to 33.10). The subgroup analysis showed that the incidence of foodborne diseases was remarkably higher in the developing countries than in the developed countries (RR=2.31,95%CI:1.98 to 2.69), the infants with no more than 5 years of age and the immunocompromised people were the high-risk populations (all P<0.05). The heterogeneity testing indicated that I2 was 78.30%, and the primary sources of heterogeneity were regional differences, diagnostic methods and age structure of populations (all P<0.10). The sensitivity analysis confirmed that the result was robust, and Egger test revealed that there was no obvious publication bias(P=0.568). CONCLUSIONS Norovirus, Salmonella, Toxoplasma gondii and aflatoxin are the predominant pathogenic factors for the foodborne diseases. It is necessary to focus on the developing countries and special populations and strengthen the control of sources of food contamination as well as the protection of high-risk populations.

     

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