N/LPR在社区获得性重症肺炎患者病情转归中的预测价值

Predictive value of N/LPR for disease outcomein patients with community-acquired severe pneumonia

  • 摘要:
    目的 分析中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞和血小板计数比值(N/LPR)在社区获得性重症肺炎患者病情转归中的预测价值。
    方法 回顾性分析2023年1月-2024年12月贵州省人民医院收治的社区获得性重症肺炎患者,根据28 d临床结局将其分为死亡组和存活组。收集患者性别、年龄、基础疾病史和入院首次中性粒细胞计数、淋巴细胞计数、血小板计数、C-反应蛋白(CRP)、N/LPR等资料,采用logistic回归分析归纳社区获得性重症肺炎患者N/LPR与病情转归间的关联;受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线分析N/LPR对患者病情转归的预测效能。Kaplan-Meier生存分析比较不同N/LPR的社区获得性重症肺炎患者的生存情况。
    结果 320例重症肺炎患者28 d死亡67例,病死率为20.94%。死亡组有创机械通气、入住ICU情况、急性生理与慢性健康状况评分Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)、序贯器官功能衰竭评分(SOFA)、中性粒细胞计数、N/LPR、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、CRP高于存活组,氧合指数、淋巴细胞计数、血小板计数低于存活组(P<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析显示,N/LPR与社区获得性重症肺炎患者预后不良相关,其预测病情转归的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.775(P<0.05)。Kaplan-Meier生存分析显示,高于N/LPR界限值组患者28 d存活率较低于N/LPR界限值组患者低(P<0.05)。
    结论 N/LPR是社区获得性重症肺炎患者病情转归的预测因素,且与社区获得性重症肺炎病情程度密切相关。N/LPR有助于早期预警重症肺炎患者病情转归不良的风险。

     

    Abstract:
    OBJECTIVE  To analyze the predictive value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-platelet ratio (N/LPR) for the disease outcome in patients with community-acquired severe pneumonia.
    METHODS  A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients with community-acquired severe pneumonia admitted to Guizhou Provincial People's Hospital from Jan. 2023 to Dec. 2024. Patients were divided into a non-survivor group and a survival group based on their 28-day clinical outcomes. Data were collected on patients' sex, age, history of underlying diseases, as well as initial neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, platelet count, C-reactive protein (CRP) and N/LPR at admission. Logistic regression analysis was employed to examine the association between N/LPR and disease outcome in patients with community-acquired severe pneumonia. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to evaluate the predictive performance of N/LPR for disease outcome. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was adopted to compare the survival of patients with community-acquired severe pneumonia across different N/LPR levels.
    RESULTS  The 28-day mortality among the 320 patients with severe pneumonia was 20.94% (67/320). In the non-survival group, the use of invasive mechanical ventilation, ICU admission, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, neutrophil count, N/LPR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and CRP were higher than those in the survival group, while the oxygenation index, lymphocyte count and platelet count were lower (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that N/LPR was associated with poor prognosis in patients with community-acquired severe pneumonia, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.775 for predicting disease outcome (P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis indicated that patients with N/LPR values above the cutoff had a lower 28-day survival rate compared to those with values below the cutoff (P<0.05).
    CONCLUSIONS  N/LPR is a predictive factor for the prognosis of patients with community-acquired severe pneumonia, and is closely associated with the severity of the disease. N/LPR aids in early warning of the risk of adverse prognosis in patients with severe pneumonia.

     

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