2型糖尿病合并肾性贫血腹透患者发生腹膜透析相关腹膜炎危险因素及预测模型构建

Risk factors for peritoneal dialysis-related peritonitis in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients complicated with renal anemia and establishment of prediction model

  • 摘要:
    目的 探析2型糖尿病合并肾性贫血腹透患者发生腹膜透析相关腹膜炎(PDAP)的危险因素并构建风险预测模型,以期为PDAP的临床诊疗提供进一步参考。
    方法 选取2017年1月-2023年12月于天津中医药大学第一附属医院肾病科住院的142例2型糖尿病合并肾性贫血腹透患者为研究对象,根据是否合并PDAP分为腹膜炎组(n=68)和非腹膜炎组(n=74)。收集相关资料后行单因素比较和二分类logistic回归分析,建立风险预测模型,将所得模型可视化后进行进一步分析。
    结果 单因素比较提示腹膜炎组的年龄、糖化血红蛋白、甘油三酯和纤维蛋白原水平均高于非腹膜炎组,腹膜炎组的血清钾、血清铁、总铁结合力水平均低于非腹膜炎组,差异有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。二分类logistic回归分析表明糖化血红蛋白≥7.00%(OR=4.047,95%CI:1.663~9.847,P=0.002)、年龄≥60岁(OR=2.181,95%CI:1.039~4.578,P=0.039)、甘油三酯>1.47 mmol/L(OR=2.393,95%CI:1.140~5.026,P=0.021)、血清铁<7.90 μmol/L(OR=2.582,95%CI:1.188~5.608,P=0.017)是2型糖尿病合并肾性贫血腹透患者发生PDAP的危险因素。
    结论 糖化血红蛋白≥7.00%、年龄≥60岁、甘油三酯>1.47 mmol/L、血清铁<7.90 μmol/L是2型糖尿病合并肾性贫血腹透患者发生PDAP的危险因素,可据上述因素构建风险预测模型并予积极干预,以利于降低相关患者的PDAP发生风险,提高其生活质量。

     

    Abstract:
    OBJECTIVE To explore the risk factors for peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis (PDAP) in the diabetes mellitus patients complicated with renal anemia and establish the risk prediction model so as to provide references for clinical diagnosis and treatment of PDAP.
    METHODS A total of 142 type 2 diabetes mellitus patients who were complicated with renal anemia and underwent peritoneal dialysis in nephrology department of the First Teaching Hospital of Tianjin University of Traditional Chinese Medicine from Jan. 2017 to Dec. 2023 were recruited as the research subjects and were divided into the peritonitis group with 68 cases and the non-peritonitis group with 74 cases according to the status of complication with PDAP. The related data were collected, the univariate analysis and binary logistic regression analysis were performed, the risk prediction model was established, and the obtained model was visualized for further analysis.
    RESULTS The univariate analysis showed that the age and levels of glycosylated hemoglobin, triglyceride and fibrinogen were higher in the peritonitis group than in the non-peritonitis group; the levels of serum potassium, serum iron and total iron binding capacity of the peritonitis group were lower than those of the non-peritonitis group, and there were significant differences (all P < 0.05). The binary logistic regression analysis indicated that glycosylated hemoglobin no less than 7.00%(OR=4.047, 95%CI: 1.663 to 9.847, P=0.002), no less than 60 years of age (OR=2.181, 95%CI: 1.039 to 4.578, P=0.039), triglyceride greater than 1.47 mmol/L (OR=2.393, 95%CI: 1.140 to 5.026, P=0.021) and serum iron less than 7.90 μmol/L (OR=2.582, 95%CI: 1.188 to 5.608, P=0.017) were the risk factors for the PDAP in the type 2 diabetes mellitus patients complicated with renal anemia.
    CONCLUSIONS The glycosylated hemoglobin no less than 7.00%, no less than 60 years of age, triglyceride greater than 1.47 mmol/L and serum iron less than 7.90 μmol/L are the risk factors for PDAP in the type 2 diabetes mellitus patients complicated with renal anemia. The risk prediction model can be established based on the above factors, and the intervention measures should be actively taken so as to reduce the risk of PDAP and improve the quality of life.

     

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